|
Analog Update - Dow 1929 vs. Nasdaq 2000 (UPDATED 10 Dec 2008)
FREE - 12/8
Our analog chart comparing the stock market movements from 1924 through 1938 1940 in the Dow Jones Industrial average to the movements in the Nasdaq Composite index seventy years later suggests the bears may have farther to go...
By Anthony Kolton
|
|
Previous Bear Market Rallies in the Dow
FREE - 11/28
Stocks have rallied over the last four days. The Dow has rallied 15.5% over that period. The index is still in the clutches of the bear--it closed at 8,726.61 below the average value over the last 200, 100, and 50 days--but the bulls are charging...
By Anthony Kolton
|
|
Ten-year Treasury Notes - Three Days of Strength
FREE - 11/19
The Ten-year Treasury futures market has been surging, experiencing a 'big' one-day rally on Tuesday after a gap open and following rallies on Friday and Monday. The contract closed at 118 30/64, up a 1 and 1/64 on the day...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Core PPI higher...but Bonds don't care
FREE - 11/19
30 year US Treasuries rallied smartly on Tuesday in the face of stronger equities and higher than expected core wholesale inflation measures.
By Jason Thompson
|
|
Euro in British Pounds - Breakaway Moves
FREE - 11/13
The value of one Euro in British Pounds has been rising, from a low of GBP 0.7700 in mid-October the exchange rate traded on Wednesday at an all-time high of GBP 0.8414, during a day where the rate made a 'very big' one-day gain...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Scary Halloween for Stocks
FREE - 10/31
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 33% since October 30th of last year. How have stocks performed in the past when the indexes are down 20% or more over the last year on the close on the day before Halloween?
By Anthony Kolton and Gibbons Burke
|
|
GOOG Gagged
FREE - 9/9
The U.S. Treasury threw a party Monday, bailing out Fannie, Freddie, and the FHLB system as well as the multitudes that had previously purchased their debts. However, Google has been on a downslope lately...
By Jason Thompson
|
|
Research In Motion a Study In Movement Upward?
FREE - 8/21
Research In Motion Ltd saw a 'big' trend day up, and crossed above its 100-day moving average. Will recent bullishness continue...?
By Jeffrey Garceau
|
|
UST Inc - A Smoking August
FREE - 8/12
UST lit one up for the bulls yesterday, rising a 'big' $0.93, or 1.8%, closing at $53.89 on a hot August day replete with a cross above the 100-period moving average. Join us, as history suggests a continuation of the bullish fire dance.
By Jay Pasch
|
|
Soybean Oil Futures - September Weakness
FREE - 7/31
Soybean Oil Futures have rallied on four of the past five trading days, but are still down -0.5% over the span. Will the declines continue to out weight the rallies?
By Ronish Patel
|
|
Emcor Group - 'Extra Big' Trend
FREE - 7/30
Emcor Group rallied an 'extra big' 13.1% with the market's rising tide on Tuesday crossing above its upper Bollinger band. Can the stock add to its gains?
By Mickey Schoenhals and Jay Pasch
|
|
Aluminum Alloy Futures - Mixed Signals
FREE - 7/30
Aluminum Alloy Futures opened Tuesday's session at its low and almost 2% lower than Monday's close. However, AA traded upward in a 'trend day' up fashion during the session, but still recorded a decline. How will AA react to the mixed signals?
By Ronish Patel
|
|
Stocks - The Smell of Fear Redux Redux
FREE - 7/29
Friday gave stocks a pregnant pause from the bear's down-swiping claws, but after a weekend to think about it, the bears resumed their relentless attack on equity values before the SEC decides that short-selling is an act of terror...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
"R.E.W.Ind" - Still Flashing
FREE - 7/7
Since this Spring, when talk of the likelihood of a recession was buzzing, economists have backed off of that somewhat - tempering their harsh judgement of the economy. According to our Recession Early Warning Indicator (REWIND), it's still on...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Ascent Solar Technologies - The 50-day Descent of Ascent
FREE - 6/10
Now off 39% from its May highs, Ascent Solar Technologies continues its descent marking a 50-day low as the stock closed down 71 cents yesterday, or -6.1%, to close at $10.88. What does history show us about Ascent's 50-day low?
By Jay Pasch
|
|
NCI Building Systems - Constructing Gains
FREE - 6/4
Supplier to the non-residential construction industry, NCI Building Systems recorded an unusual volume-price rally yesterday, gaining $3.25, or 10.8%, closing at $33.40 on increased guidance. History provides a bullish tell given yesterday's move.
By Jay Pasch
|
|
Patriot Coal Corp - Great Balls of Fire
FREE - 6/2
The rally in the coal group continues unabated with representative Patriot Coal hitting all-time highs during Friday's session, breaking the $100 mark with a $108.13 close, up $8.79, or 8.8% with history suggesting more short-term continuation.
By Jay Pasch
|
|
Japan Small-cap Fund: The Rising Sun
FREE - 5/27
Japan Small-cap Fund sank another 13 cents, or 1.3%, down for a fifth straight session on Friday, closing at $9.52 recording a very large five-day decline, history of which suggests a pending rise.
By Jay Pasch
|
|
Crude Oil - to reach $140/bbl.?
FREE - 5/6
Crude Oil futures rallied a second 'big' day in a row, gaining 3.1% following Friday's 3.4% gain, to close at a record $119.97 after trading as high as $120.30. Other energy futures rallied strongly as well... What's the significance?
By Anthony Kolton
|
|
Yahoo! Inc.- Numbers Behind the News
FREE - 4/28
Shares of Yahoo! traded lower on Friday, down 50 cents or -1.8% closing at $26.80 as investors' confidence wanes over closing the merger deal with Microsoft. Keeping our eye on the historical ball, we put Yahoo!'s price action into perspective...
By Jay Pasch
|
|
Papal Visits to the U.S. - Heaven and Hell (CORRECT)
FREE - 4/16
Pope Benedict XVi landed at Andrews Air Force base on Tuesday, commencing his first visit to the United States since he was elevated to pontiff of the Catholic Church, and the first papal visit of the third millennium...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Stocks - The Smell of Fear Redux
FREE - 4/14
Stocks saw a massive sell-off on Friday - the Dow and S&P 500 fell 2.0%, and the Nasdaq dropped -2.6% - all three are 'big' one-day moves relative to recent volatility. Meanwhile capital withdrawn from stocks moved into Government bonds...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Cerner Corp - A Healthy Reversal
FREE - 4/9
Cerner, a health care information systems concern, broke its 2008 sell channel with conviction this week with an 'extra large' 5-day gain, closing at $40.68 with a $1.49 gain, 3.8% in yesterday's weak tape.
By Jay Pasch
|
|
Crude Oil Futures - They're Baa-ack
FREE - 4/4
Crude Oil Futures took a couple of days off the first two days of the week, but it did not take long for them to bounce back. How high will Crude be bouncing this time?
By Mickey Schoenhals
|
|
Tyson Foods - Spring Rally
FREE - 4/3
Tyson Foods declined by a 'big' 3.2% on Wednesday to close with a share price of $16.29. Could this be a good time to own TSN, taking advantage of a historical tendency for this equity to rally from the beginning of April through the end of May?
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
Oil Stocks Index - Gathering Momentum
FREE - 4/3
The AMEX XOI index of oil-related stocks has been gathering a head of steam since a late March re-testing the February low below 1300. The index closed at 1386.27 after the high was just shy of the 1400 level, ending with a 1.2% gain on the day...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
U.S. Dollar Index - Strong Moves. Will They Last?
FREE - 4/2
The U.S. Dollar Index has rallied 4 consecutive days with a 'very big' 1.1% rally on Tuesday. Many of us are hoping the Dollar will dig in, pull itself up by its bootstraps and get out of this deep hole, but what does history say?
By Mickey Schoenhals
|
|
U.S. Dollar Index Futures - April Fools Rally
FREE - 4/2
U.S. Dollar Index Futures have enjoyed a fantastic couple of days, rallying in 4 consecutive days including a 'very big' gain on Tuesday, April Fools day. NBT.DX gained 1.1% on Tuesday to finish at 72.965.
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
S&P 500 Index - April Fools?
FREE - 3/31
Today we evaluate the S&P 500 Index's 1315 close and -10.56 point decline of -.85% which comes one day ahead of quarter-end. Do the bulls have more than a tepid bounce off of 2008 lows with anemic volume in mind?
By Jay Pasch
|
|
Southwestern Energy Co. - Bullish Seasonal
FREE - 3/31
Southwestern Energy Co. managed to hold up nicely through last week's market volatility. The stock gained 9.9% in a week that the S&P 500 lost -1.1%. This time of year seems to be quite favorable to the bulls in SWN...
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
Live Cattle Futures - Rock Bottom
FREE - 3/28
Live Cattle Futures have seen back to back 'big' 'trend day declines' that crossed the market below its 52-week lowest low on Thursday. Will the Live Cattle Futures rebound or continue to drop to new lows?
By Mickey Schoenhals
|
|
S&P 500 Index - An End-of-quarter Run
FREE - 3/27
The S&P 500 gave back a tolerable -11.85 points on Wednesday, or 0.88%, with a close at 1,341.14 after a 'very large' 5-day gain. History suggests continued up-side with the approach of quarter-end...
By Jay Pasch
|
|
Google Inc.- A Gap Reversal
FREE - 3/25
Shares of Google gapped up and away from its 2008 declining trendline during yesterday's session, up $27.01, or 6.3%, to close at $460.56. Was yesterday's gap-and-go day a bullish tell?
By Jay Pasch
|
|
Southwestern Energy - SeasonalEdge
FREE - 3/25
After losing over 10% in the 5 days leading up to Monday, Southwestern Energy came out strong responding with a 2.5% rally. Will the stock return to its heights or will the dip continue to drop?
By Mickey Schoenhals
|
|
Aflac - Catching a Trend
FREE - 3/25
Last Thursday, the final trading day of the week, Aflac had its 5-day average cross above its 20-day average, and on Monday, despite closing lower on the day, its 10-day average crossed above its 50-day average. AFL could be picking up some momentum.
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
CSX Corp - Carrying the Load
FREE - 3/24
The transport index continues to carry the bullish load across the sector landscape, with index component CSX among the top performers in the sector. CSX closed Thursday at $54.59, up $1.54 or 2.9% as it challenges all-time highs.
By Jay Pasch
|
|
Allergan Specialty Therapeutics - Crossing Averages Redux
FREE - 3/24
Allergan Specialty Therapeutics saw its 50-day average cross below its 200-day average on Thursday after 3 consecutive rallies to close out the short week. Do these trend lines crossing have a long term affect?
By Mickey Schoenhals
|
|
Update - Dow 1924-1937 Analog
FREE - 3/20
Back in May 2007 we featured an analog chart that shows the closely related patterns of movement between the Dow, which peaked in 1929, crashed and then bounced around for the next several years with the Nasdaq from the 2000 peak...
By Anthony Kolton
|
|
Alexandria Real Estate Equities - Its not 'Unusual' to Bounce Back
FREE - 3/20
Alexandria Real Estate Equities posted a 'very big' loss on Wednesday, and it was accompanied with 'extra high' volume. The result was an 'unusual volume price decline', but history shows a reversal may be in store next...
By Mickey Schoenhals
|
|
Marvel Enternainment- A Bullish Seasonal
FREE - 3/18
Marvel Entertainment (MVL) treaded Wall Street's violent wave action yesterday, closing nearly unchanged at $24.85 with an inside-day as the stock winds up ahead of a short-term period of bullish seasonality.
By Jay Pasch
|
|
NASDAQ 100 Stock Index Futures - The Bearish Position is a Crowded One
FREE - 3/17
According to the most recent Commitment of Traders Report released two Friday's ago, both Commercial Hedgers and Large Speculators are net short of contracts. So with the bearish position being a crowded one, let us turn to history...
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
Exelon Corporation - Testing its 100-MA
FREE - 3/17
Exelon Corporation has crossed below, then above, then below that average again on consecutive days ending on Friday. If history is any guide, this type of price action is quite bullish for EXC moving forward into the next month.
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
The Coca-Cola Company - Price Warms Up with the Weather
FREE - 3/17
The Coca-Cola Company a 'very big' -2.4% decline on Friday. With a closing price of $57.53, is this the time of year to buy this price action to close out the week? Let us turn to history...
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
Japanese Yen Futures - Found a Top?
FREE - 3/17
Japanese Yen Futures have rocketed up nearly 8% from the final days of February to today, but has the market found a top?
By Mickey Schoenhals
|
|
U.S. Economy - Recession
FREE - 3/14
A lead story in the Wall Street Journal reports that most economists surveyed are 'increasingly certain' that the U.S. economy is in a business contraction, or recession. Our early warning indicator confirms this...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Macy's - Bottoming?
FREE - 3/14
Macy's has tested its 20-day lowest lows in two of the last 3 trading days; however, in both instances, M recovered to finish the day with a rally. M enjoyed a 0.3% gain on Thursday, one day after its 10-day average crossed below its 50-day average.
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
Quicksilver Resources - SeasonalEdge
FREE - 3/13
Quicksilver Resources have seen a great run in the midst of a bearish market gaining over 75% since September began. SeasonalEdge shows that this trend should continue at about the same pace.
By Mickey Schoenhals
|
|
BorgWarner - Crossing Trend Lines
FREE - 3/13
BorgWarner has been tip-toeing along a line of support around $40 per share. Wednesday the 50-day average crossed below the 200-day average. How will the stock respond in the past to these major trend lines crossing?
By Mickey Schoenhals
|
|
Bank of America - Stock Price Fighting Back?
FREE - 3/13
Bank of America has not been spared in the credit crisis that has plagued many banks for what is quickly becoming the better part of a year now. Is this another opportunity to nibble on the dips and sell the rips in the beleaguered financial sector?
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
S&P 500 Index - Getting a fix and getting high
FREE - 3/12
Like a heroin addict after a fix, stocks rallied sharply today, flush with a liquidity injection from its pusher the Fed. The S&P 500 index opened high and finished higher - a 'very big' 3.7% trend-day gain that set the shorts back on their heels...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
General Electric - A Trend Reversal Signal
FREE - 3/12
Off some -25% from last October highs, GE joined in yesterday's Bernanke-led rally, gaining $1.70, or 5.4%, closing at $33.40 with an 'extra big' gain on the day. The relative enormity of yesterday's move suggests a trend reversal in favor of the bulls.
By Jay Pasch
|
|
Abbot Laboratories - Pulling off its Lows
FREE - 3/12
Abbot Laboratories traded down to a low of $50.32, one cent below the previous day's low. In fact, ABT has traded to new 13-week lows over five consecutive trading days. ABT eventually settled 0.5% higher on Tuesday with a share price of $50.86.
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
Rohm and Haas - Chemically Balanced
FREE - 3/11
Shares of Rohm and Haas tend to rally after having a 'trend day' decline while posting a 'very large' five day decline. With the stock closing at $50.93, should we expect a turnaround rally or a continued decline?
By Pratik Shah
|
|
British Pound in Swiss Franc - No Support In Sight
FREE - 3/11
The value of a British Pound in Swiss Franc went through a 'big' decline to start the week after closing last week with a similar rally. After dropping from the CHF2.4 mark down below CHF2.1, can the exchange rate come back and rally or continue to drop?
By Pratik Shah
|
|
Coffee Futures - Reversal of Fortune
FREE - 3/5
Coffee Futures experienced a 'very big' 'bearish reversal' to close with a price of 160.65 cents/lb.. As recently as Friday, KC was trading at a 52-week high, but has a short-term top been reached? Let us turn to history...
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
Dollar in Yen - Meltdown
FREE - 3/4
The Dollar continues to deteriorate in value versus the Japanese Yen, approaching support at the low set in 2004 at JPY101.7 which was a test of the previous low in 1999 at 101.3. The exchange rate closed on Monday at 103.466...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Honda Motors Company - Breaking off its Highs
FREE - 3/3
Honda Motors Company gapped lower on both Thursday and Friday. Despite this HMC finished out the week losing only -0.4% in the five trading days, as on Wednesday, it crossed above its 20-day highest high.
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
The Russell 2000 Index - Continuation
FREE - 2/29
The Russell 2000 remains in a steep downtrend measured by its 200, 100, and 50-day averages. As a result of the big 1.5% decline on Thursday RUT also crossed below its 20, 10, and 5-day averages. With a closing price of 705.72, let us turn to history...
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
Heating Oil Futures - Highest High
FREE - 2/29
On Thursday, Heating Oil Futures traded to a 52-week high for the 3rd time in 4 days. HO closed Thursday with a price of 284.56 exactly on its daily high of 284.56.
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
Tredegar Industries- Buying the Pullback
FREE - 2/29
Tredegar Industries gave back $1.60, or -8.7%, closing at $16.71 during yesterday's trade, retesting this week's double-bottom breakout by printing back-to-back days that were 'very big' in range, history of which a win for the bulls.
By Jay Pasch
|
|
Apple Inc. - Bottoming?
FREE - 2/28
Shares in Apple Inc. traded to a 13-week low for the second time in three days on Tuesday, but rebounded strongly on Wednesday, gaining a 'big' 3.2% to finish the session with a share price of $122.96. What does history say about such moves?
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
Euro in British Pounds - Very Big Rally
FREE - 2/28
The value of a Euro in British pounds jumped dramatically on Wednesday in inter-bank trading, gaining a 'very big' 1.3% from the previous day's 'close' in New York at GBP0.7632. The exchange rate also crossed above the upper Bollinger band...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Reliance Steel & Aluminum - Bollinger breakout
FREE - 2/27
After plunging from a high near $60 in late October 2007 down to a low of $43 in late January, Reliance seems to be mounting a strong attack on the $60 level again. The stock closed on Tuesday at $57.45, after making a 13-week high...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Heating Oil - Bullish Seasonal
FREE - 2/22
One might be exused for thinking that after the peak of winter, demand for heating oil would slacken off as we move into the warmer spring, leading to lower prices. But history seems to indicate the opposite is true...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Edwards Lifesciences - Can't Keep a Good Stock Down
FREE - 2/15
Shares in the provider of products and technologies for those with cardiovascular disease suffered a mild infarction starting on Wednesday with a repeat episode on Thursday. Like much of the market EW has been trending down since October peak...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Gold Futures - Gapping Up and Down
FREE - 2/13
The Gold Futures market gapped up on both Friday and Monday only to gap lower on Tuesday, losing a big -1.7% on its value on the day to close at $907.40 per ounce. Let us turn to history for a closer look at similar moves in gold in the past...
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
Conoco Phillips - Trend Day Declines in February
FREE - 2/6
Conoco Phillips saw a 'big' gap open move to the downside and continued down all day to close with a 'big' decline of -4.6%, closing at $76.09 and removing some of the gains of last week. The daily bar formed a 'trend day' pattern...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Big Blue Wrecking Crew Wrecks Patriot's Perfect Season
FREE - 2/4
This evenings contest between the New York Giants and the previously undefeated New England Patriots was an exciting Super Bowl - one of the most closely contested matches in memory. The Giants prevailed - will the mood in the markets be affected?
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Microtune Inc- Seasonally Out of Tune
FREE - 2/4
Shares of Microtune fell 6% on Friday, contrary to a bullish market session, with shares dropping 35 cents closing at $5.49, front-running a coming period of bearish seasonality.
By Jay Pasch
|
|
Fording Canadian Coal Trust - Red Hot
FREE - 1/30
Fording Coal continues to consolidate after last week's explosive 13-point move to challenge its all-time highs. History suggests a period of continued consolidation before a break into all-time highs. FDG closed nearly unchanged, up 9 cents at $43.30.
By Jay Pasch
|
|
S&P 500 Index - Quintuple Plunge
FREE - 1/24
The S&P 500 index has seen several heart-stopping plunges to intra-day lows in the last week, but Wednesday's was different - it actually rallied from a 3.1% deficit at the low of the day to a 2.1% gain on the day - an event that hasn't occurred since...
By Anthony Kolton and Gibbons Burke
|
|
Light Crude Futures - Buy the Dip?
FREE - 1/24
Crude Oil Futures have declined in consecutive days, including a -2.5% decline Wednesday. Tuesday, its 10-day average crossed below its 50-day average. However historically, this bear signal appears to be false, and in fact, it actually seems bullish...
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
S&P 500 Index Futures - Follow the Smart Money (CORRECT)
FREE - 1/23
The S&P 500 Index Futures have been in a bit of a free fall, as it seems selling has only begotten further selling. With Commercial Hedgers sticking their toes in the water, is it time traders considered doing the same, at least for the short-term?
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
Martin Luther King Pushes Insurance out of Favor?
FREE - 1/23
AON and Aetna both closed lower on Tuesday and these stocks have more in common than just insurance; they both perform poorly in the weeks after Martin Luther King Day.
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
Fed lowers Federal Funds and Discount Rates 75 bp - UNPRECEDENTED
FREE - 1/22
The Fed, doing its part in the Plunge Protection effort, today lowered the short-term interest rates by 75 basis points, an unprecedented easing after equity markets opened sharply lower following the holiday where overseas markets were hammered...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Autoliv, Inc. - Hitting 52-week Lows
FREE - 1/22
Autoliv, Inc shares hit new 52-week lows for the majority of last week, takings hits on 4 out of the last 5 days of the week. The value of each share dropped to $45.75. Have they hit resistance?
By Pratik Shah
|
|
United States Steel Corp - Waffling on its 50
FREE - 1/22
United States Steel Corp first crossed below and then above its 200, 100, and 50 day averages on successive days finishing out last week. The stock closed with a share price of $104.72 with a 'big' gain on Friday.
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
Monsanto - Digging Deep
FREE - 1/18
Monsanto has shed a rare 'extra large' five-day decline of 18.4%, with three 'big' declines in a row, and the last two were 'very big'. The violence of this downdraft, coming right after the stock made an all-time high, is astounding...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Lumber Futures - Cut Down
FREE - 1/18
Lumber futures have been in a steep decline, losing 8% in the last 5 trading days. They gaped lower to close at 227.5 on Thursday, and history seems to suggest that the declines will not stop there.
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
Harmonic Inc. - Time to Own
FREE - 1/16
Harmonic Inc has been beaten down a bit since the start of November, moving from above $12 to $9.32, where it closed on Tuesday. A seasonal pattern has developed in HLIT, suggesting that this is a great time to own.
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
Crude Oil - Continuing Weak
FREE - 1/16
Crude Oil futures resumed their decline after a brief attempt at a rally on Monday. The futures market fell a 'big' -2.4% on Tuesday with the front month (February) closing at $91.90/bbl. Will the market bounce?
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Estee Lauder - Freshening Up
FREE - 1/15
Estee Lauder was rated a 'good buy' by S&P Equity Research on December 14th, and the stock proceeded to have four days of strong rallies. Since then, however, the stock has been bushwhacked. Is Estee Lauder still a 'good buy?'
By Mickey Schoenhals
|
|
Dow - Two weekly declines in January
FREE - 1/14
The Dow on Friday concluded its third week in a row with a weekly decline, losing 844.4 points (-6.3%) over that period. Last week the average fell -1.5% to close at 12,606.3. Can the Dow recover from such a blow so early in the year?
By Anthony Kolton
|
|
Crude Oil Futures - Don't Be Fooled!
FREE - 1/14
Crude Oil has eased its fury as it has lost over -5% in the last week of trading, and has crossed below its 50-day moving average. Things appear to be on a downward trend, but is that the case?
By Mickey Schoenhals
|
|
Yum! Brands - Bear Snack
FREE - 1/11
Yum! Brands, Inc. shares recorded its third rally over the last five trading days on Thursday. The 2.2% gain during Thursday's session was the second consecutive one. But is YUM beginning to lose its flavor?
By Ronish Patel
|
|
Euro in Yen - Depreciating Further?
FREE - 1/9
The value of a Euro in Japanese Yen has bounced back and forth from the JPY160 to JPY165 level since the 2nd week of November. Will we see the exchange rate break through the lower support?
By Pratik Shah
|
|
Sunspots and the Business Cycle
FREE - 1/8
The Sun, for the most part, regulates business activity around the globe. People make hay while the Sun is shining and rest at night. Should it be a surprise, then, to link a longer-term solar cycle with the business cycle?
By Anthony Kolton and Gibbons Burke
|
|
Tis the Seasonal or the Trend?
FREE - 12/20
Stocks continue to move crabwise through this trading range between 1400 and 1550 on the S&P 500 index scale, and a trend-following indicator just fired off a bearish signal. Trend-following signals don't usually work well in trading ranges, however...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Sugar - December Sweets
FREE - 12/18
Visions of sugar-plums danced in the heads of traders in the sugar futures market in New York as the market rallied in a gap move above 10.5 cents per pound on Monday, busting through that resistance level. What's fueling the move?
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Loonie In Yen - Targeting above 112 Yen
FREE - 12/17
The 5-day moving average for the value of a Canadian Dollar in Japanese Yen crossed above the 20-day moving average, signaling a bullish move for the two weeks to follow...
By Pratik Shah
|
|
Equitable Resources - Slumping Returns
FREE - 12/12
Shares of Equitable Resources tend to decline on FOMC Meeting Days similar to Tuesday's...
By Pratik Shah
|
|
Heating Oil - Little Dipper
FREE - 11/29
Heating Oil has lost 'big' on its last two trading days for a total loss of -5%. Will the market bounce back, or is it setting a new trend?
By Mickey Schoenhals
|
|
Anheuser Busch - Very Big Gain in November
FREE - 11/28
Shares in the brewers of Budweiser beer are starting to build up some bullish momentum, with two 'big' gains in the last three trading days combining to bring about a 'very big' five-day percentage gain of 3.9%. Will this momentum carry the stock farther?
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Light Crude Futures - Buying Opportunity?
FREE - 11/28
Light Crude Futures have pulled off their highs declining in two consecutive days, including a -3.4% decline on Tuesday. Could this be a reversal in trend, or is it simply a better price to be long at? Let us turn to history...
By Ryan Soudan
|
|
Dow - Post-Thanksgiving Declines
FREE - 11/27
The Dow took a 'big' 1.8% dive on Monday after Friday's tryptophan-fueled 'big' 1.4% gain to bring the average to a -3.3% five-day rate of change, which because of recent volatility, is no longer considered 'large'...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Expedia.BUY !!!
FREE - 11/19
Expedia stock may not equal the abilities of Expedia.com to help people take to the sky, but Friday's performance of EXPE might just do the trick for shareholders...
By Jason Thompson
|
|
Dow - Veterans Day Seasonal Bullishness
FREE - 11/13
The modern history of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, following the 1982 introduction of financial futures on stock indexes, shows a fairly consistent bullish edge into the start of the New Year...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Dow Jones Industrial - Secular Trend Change?
FREE - 11/12
Like the OEX, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell below its average value over the last 200 trading days on Friday, closing the week with a 'large' five-day decline of -4.1% at 13042.74, having lost 552.36 points during the week...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Hindenburg Omen Again
FREE - 11/8
This is just an update to an earlier story featuring the Hindenburg Omen - the event occurred again, according to our criterion, on Monday, November 5th.
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Monsanto - Trend Days in November
FREE - 11/7
Monsanto shares saw a 'big' 'trend day' rally of 3.6% on Tuesday, closing at $96.74, within striking distance of last Wednesday's all-time high of $98.70, and the round number target $100. How have such 'trend day' rallies played out in the past?
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Exxon Mobil - Double Bollinger Dip
FREE - 11/5
Exxon Mobil drilled deeper into bearish territory on Thursday and Friday, dropping 4.4% over those two days and making for a 'very large' weekly loss of -4.6%. The stock closed on both days below the lower Bollinger band - is this significant?
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Treasury Bonds and the Euro
FREE - 11/2
The European Currency fell a 'big' -0.4% on Thursday (basis the close of business in New York) to $1.4425, after making a 52-week high on Wednesday of $1.4505. Treasury Bond futures, however, rallied 'very big'
By Anthony Kolton and Gibbons Burke
|
|
Marathon Oil - Crude Oil Spooked
FREE - 10/31
Marathon Oil lost an 'extra big' 5.2% on Tuesday, in sympathy with the oil market generally as Crude Oil futures fell a 'very big' -3.4%. Is it time to bail on energy stocks just yet? Not according to the history of such spooky moves...
By Gibbons Burke
|
|
Crude Oil Futures: Still Bullish?
FREE - 10/26
What does the MIM make of Crude Oil futures two-day rally in light of the Energy Information Administration weekly inventory report?
By Scott Murani
|
|
S&P 500 - Hindenburg Omen
FREE - 10/19
On Wednesday, October 18th, the Hindenburg Omen, a technical market signal named after the Hindenburg tragedy in 1937 was triggered. Let us put this impending turmoil trigger to the historical test...
By Ryan Soudan and Mickey Schoenhals
|
|
Dow-Nasdaq Analog - Updated (through end of 2007)
FREE - 10/12
We update a chart we published back in May 2007 which shows an overlay of the Nasdaq Composite index on top of a chart of the Dow back around the 1929 crash and bear market. We may have reached a top if this analog is a guide...
By Anthony Kolton
|
|
Hansen Natural - To Infinity, and Beyond
FREE - 9/28
Hansen Natural has been surging into new all-time high territory every day so far this week, but on Thursday the stock price declined 0.8% after making a new all-time high at $57.96 to close at $56.67. What comes next?
By Gibbons Burke
|
|